The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Madryn 62.5%
Draw 25.3%
Club Almagro 12.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
31.6%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
31.7%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Almagro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Almagro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
16.7%
8.3%
Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Madryn will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Madryn will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Postel S. 3. Martinez D. 5. Recalde F. 7. Crego D. 8. Perez B. 11. Rivero G. 9. Mana N. 10. Solis N.
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Vitale J. 6. Yegros U. 3. Gancedo M. 8. Chaves A. 5. Rios R. 7. Baldunciel L. 10. Luayza M. 11. Gonzalez A. 9. Orlando J.
Substitutes
19. Ayala E. 16. Bustos A. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Juncos B. 13. Mansilla M. 14. Minissale P. 17. Montagna E. 15. Pruzzo L. 20. Silba L.
18. Conechny R. 19. Dornell T. 12. Limousin C. (G) 17. Lopez T. 15. Puca D. 14. Punet L. 16. Quiroga F. 13. Rimbelitti A. 20. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Gracian L.
Cordon J. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Rios R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Rivero G. ↓, Silba L. ↑,
59', Martinez D. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
60', Mana N. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
70', Gonzalez A. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
70', Baldunciel L. ↓, Conechny R. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Giacopuzzi F. ⚽,
73', Gancedo M. ↓, Punet L. ↑,
73', Orlando J. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
80', Perez B. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
83', Luayza M. ↓, Quiroga F. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Juncos B. ⚽,
90+4', Solis N. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
90+5', Quiroga F. 🟨,
90+8', Juncos B. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
Deportivo Madryn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almagro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Almagro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the clear favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Madryn - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Bonnin Y. (C) 
Perez B. 
Ayala E. 
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