Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Güemes		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.9	2.95	4.2
	1.92	3.05	4.3	Watch
	1.93	2.96	4.09
	1.97	2.83	4.92	Watch
	1.85	3	4.6
	1.94	3.18	4.18	Watch
	1.92	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	4.35 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
48.1%

Draw
30.6%

Club Almagro
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

30.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Güemes - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pezzini N. (G) 4. Gonzalez F. 2. Juarez W. 6. Monserrat N. 3. Lopez F. 7. Federico T. 8. Gerez M. 5. Griffa E. 10. Veliz D. 11. Albertengo M. 9. Palacios P.	1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Vitale J. 6. Yegros U. 3. Pinto M. 8. Quiroga F. 5. Castro T. 10. Luayza M. 11. Gonzalez A. 7. Dornell T. 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
12. Acosta M. (G) 18. Arevalos N. 14. Bettini M. 19. Brylko H. 16. Chiozza L. 17. Fissore M. 13. Gauna J. 20. Martinez T. 15. Papa G.	16. Baldunciel L. 18. Chaves A. 20. Conechny R. 17. Diosquez N. 14. Gamba L. 15. Lattanzio C. 12. Limousin C. (G) 19. Orlando J. 13. Rios R.
Coaches
Martel P.	Cordon J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
33', Garcia M. 🟨,
40', Federico T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Veliz D. 🟨,
57', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
64', Federico T. ↓, Arevalos N. ↑,
65', Dornell T. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Palacios P. ⚽,
68', Palacios P. 🟨,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
69', Dornell T. ↓, Baldunciel L. ↑,
73', Quiroga F. ↓, Chaves A. ↑,
73', Luayza M. ↓, Diosquez N. ↑,
79', Veliz D. ↓, Papa G. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Diosquez N. ⚽,
83', Monserrat N. 🟨,
89', Gerez M. ↓, Brylko H. ↑,
90+2', Garcia M. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Güemes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almagro is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Güemes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Güemes is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.25	San Miguel - Güemes	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Güemes - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Güemes	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Colegiales - Güemes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTWL
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	Club Almagro - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Club Almagro - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Club Almagro - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Quilmes - Club Almagro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.10.23	Güemes - Club Almagro	1:0
03.06.23	Club Almagro - Güemes	1:1
19.06.22	Güemes - Club Almagro	1:2
01.11.21	Club Almagro - Güemes	0:0
04.07.21	Güemes - Club Almagro	0:2

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