Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Club Almagro		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.87	3.3
				Watch
	2.5	2.95	3.48
				Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.45	2.73	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.42)	2.87 ↓ (2.91)	3.34 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
39.6%

Draw
32.5%

Tristán Suárez
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

31.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	66.7%	8.3%

Club Almagro - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Almagro (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Vitale J. 6. Yegros U. 3. Pinto M. 11. Gonzalez A. 8. Castro T. 5. Jerez Silva L. 10. Lattanzio C. 7. Orlando J. 9. Rodriguez A.	1. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Steimbach A. 2. Ostachuk P. 6. Taron M. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Villegas L. 5. Perez T. 10. Del Priore N. 7. Almada A. 9. Almiron E. 11. Moreyra G.
Substitutes
16. Baldunciel L. 18. Chaves A. 17. Diosquez N. 14. Gamba L. 12. Limousin C. (G) 19. Lopez T. 20. Luayza M. 15. Quiroga F. 13. Rios R.	16. Berges F. 20. Dominguez A. 13. Felissia L. 14. Guzman M. 12. Mendive J. (G) 15. Pantaleone N. 17. Ruiz P. 19. Sosa A. 18. Veliez A.
Coaches
Cordon J. L.	Martinez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Almiron E. 🟨,
35', Ostachuk P. 🟥,
40', Orlando J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Almada A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
64', Fernandez N. 🟨,
66', Almiron E. ↓, Veliez A. ↑,
66', Moreyra G. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
71', Castro T. ↓, Baldunciel L. ↑,
71', Orlando J. ↓, Quiroga F. ↑,
75', Steimbach A. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Veliez A. ⚽,
84', Jerez Silva L. ↓, Chaves A. ↑,
84', Fernandez N. ↓, Berges F. ↑,
84', Del Priore N. ↓, Pantaleone N. ↑,
90+4', Chaves A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2.

Almagro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tristán Suárez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Güemes - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Club Almagro - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Club Almagro - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWTW
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.25	Tristán Suárez - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Tristán Suárez - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Tristán Suárez - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Colegiales - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.02.25	Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro	2:1
11.03.22	Club Almagro - Tristán Suárez	1:0
23.07.21	Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro	1:1
15.03.21	Club Almagro - Tristán Suárez	1:3
Argentinian Primera B
22.09.15	Club Almagro - Tristán Suárez	1:0
06.05.15	Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro	1:0

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