The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 15.5%
Draw 28.7%
Tristán Suárez 55.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.4%
32.6%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
32.3%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Almagro's form might have worsened.
Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristán Suárez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Club Almagro - Tristán Suárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Vitale J. 6. Cortave M. 3. Negro B. 5. Marchioni J. 8. Martinez E. 7. Villalobos U. 10. Bustos J. 11. Tolosa N. 9. De La Vega F.
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Aguilar B. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 5. Enrique M. 8. Del Priore N. 7. Guillen M. 10. Becker D. 11. Beron J. 9. Conechny R.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 15. Blanco P. 18. Bustamante F. 19. Dornell T. 16. Fernandes J. 14. Flores J. 17. Lopez T. 13. Marco F. 20. Salto C.
18. Gallo A. 16. Magnotta S. 13. Mastrangelo D. 19. Mendive J. (G) 12. Molina A. 15. Noriega L. 20. Olguin M. 17. Ramirez S. 14. Sanchez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Becker D. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
26', Ramirez S. 🟨,
40', Conechny R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, De La Vega F. (A),
58', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
63', Conechny R. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
69', Villalobos U. ↓, Bustamante F. ↑,
69', Bustos J. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Aguilar B. ⚽,
73', Cortave M. 🟨,
77', Beron J. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Beron J. 🟨,
79', Fernandez N. ↓, Mastrangelo D. ↑,
79', Ramirez S. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
80', Asis G. 🟨,
83', Martinez E. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
89', Negro B. ↓, Marco F. ↑,
89', De La Vega F. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
90+6', Beron J. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
In recent outings, Almagro has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tristán Suárez is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Tristán Suárez for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Almagro has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almagro against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:4 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Club Almagro - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 23.4%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Gonzalez E. (G) 
