Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Madryn		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	8	Watch
	1.49	3.6	7
	1.54	3.5	6.8	Watch
	1.53	3.67	7.95
	1.54	3.49	7.77	Watch
	1.44	3.7	8
	1.49	3.5	7.95
	1.54	3.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.67)	3.55 ↑ (3)	7.53 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
61.4%

Draw
26.2%

Colegiales
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

29.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

29.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Deportivo Madryn - Colegiales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Gutierrez A. 3. Martinez D. 8. Perez B. 5. Recalde F. 11. Rivero G. 7. Crego D. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N.	1. Di Fulvio E. (C) 4. Bermejo M. 2. Strasorier S. 6. Martinez L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Montiel F. 5. Cancio J. 10. Robaldo V. 11. Garcia B. 7. Lioi A. 9. Franco N.
Substitutes
20. Ayala E. 16. Bustos A. 17. Cascini B. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Juncos B. 13. Minissale P. 15. Pruzzo L. 19. Torres G. 14. Yossen T.	16. Almada T. 17. Camargo M. 20. Gimenez B. 15. Gimenez L. 19. Marin A. 18. Marra L. 14. Rodriguez M. 12. Rojas J. (G) 13. Silguero S.
Coaches
Gracian L.	Fernandez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Franco N. ⚽,
11', Robaldo V. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Rivero G. ⚽,
24', Martinez L. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Crego D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Garcia B. ↓, Gimenez B. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Rivero G. ⚽,
67', Franco N. ↓, Marra L. ↑,
67', Lioi A. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
68', Perez B. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
75', Solis N. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
75', Rivero G. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
79', Robaldo V. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
80', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
80', Martinez D. ↓, Pruzzo L. ↑,
83', Silba L. 🟨,
89', Cancio J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Madryn - All Boys	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Los Andes - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWLT
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	Colegiales - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	4:0 ✺
10.05.25	Colegiales - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Colegiales - Güemes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

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