Match Info

Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Deportivo Madryn		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.9	Watch
	2.12	2.78	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.18	3.55	Watch
	2.11	2.67	3.98
	2.11	2.84	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)	2.86 ↓ (3.28)	3.88 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
43.9%

Draw
32.3%

Gimnasia Jujuy
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Postel S. 3. Martinez D. 5. Bustos A. 8. Perez B. 7. Crego D. 11. Montagna E. 10. Solis N. 9. Silba L.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. (C) 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Trasante J. 5. Soria H. 10. Maidana F. 7. Fernandez G. 9. Quintana A. 11. Menendez C.
Substitutes
16. Cascini B. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Juncos B. 19. Mana N. 13. Mansilla M. 17. Nicolas T. J. 15. Pruzzo L. 20. Rivero G. 14. Yossen T.	12. Anchoverri S. (G) 14. Barreto R. 15. Barro L. 16. Camacho S. 19. Casa M. 18. Juarez D. 17. Molina F. 20. Perales J. 13. Sanchez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Menendez C. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Silba L. ⚽,
40', Maidana F. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
40', Trasante J. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
44', Camacho S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Menendez C. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
63', Perez B. ↓, Nicolas T. J. ↑,
63', Montagna E. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
73', Bustos A. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
73', Silba L. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
75', Palazzo B. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
75', Fernandez G. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
80', Solis N. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.

Deportivo Madryn is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimnasia Jujuy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gimnasia Jujuy has had a series of home games.

Deportivo Madryn could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	Deportivo Madryn awarded ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Colegiales - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Deportivo Madryn - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LLWT
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	Deportivo Madryn awarded ✺
12.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	San Telmo - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?TWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	Deportivo Madryn awarded
30.07.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
25.03.23	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:1
04.07.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	0:0

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