Match Info

Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.05	5	Watch
	1.88	2.98	4.55
	1.9	3.08	5.23
	2.26	2.88	3.39	Watch
	1.89	2.98	4.63	Watch
	2.2	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)	3 (3)	4.37 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
47.2%

Draw
31.3%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gimnasia y Tiro (1.17) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnasia y Tiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 5. Birge M. 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 9. Contin N. 6. Diaz G. 7. Galetto J. 11. Gordillo L. 2. Guanini M. 3. Montoya L. 10. Rinaldi N. 8. Rojas F.	1. Olivera B. (G) 3. Angelini L. 4. Antonini J. 5. Cabrera A. 8. Fenoglio V. 9. Fontana A. 7. Gonzalez L. 10. Gonzalez T. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Ojeda S. 11. Valiente M.
Substitutes
15. Busse W. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 14. Heredia F. 17. Mendez J. 18. Morello M. 20. Reynaga R. 19. Sivetti F. 13. Tallura A. 16. Villarreal R.	12. Bigo J. (G) 13. Cobos F. 16. Cuello A. 19. Galvan F. 20. Garnerone M. 18. Morales A. 15. Nelle S. 17. Orosco B. 14. Ruiz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Fontana A. 🟨,
26', Rojas F. 🟨,
37', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
41', Gordillo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Antonini J. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
70', Galetto J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
72', Fontana A. 🟨,
79', Olivera B. 🟨,
79', Gonzalez T. ↓, Nelle S. ↑,
81', Birge M. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
85', Fenoglio V. ↓, Cobos F. ↑,
85', Gonzalez L. ↓, Galvan F. ↑,
85', Valiente M. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
87', Montoya L. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Gimnasia y Tiro could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 26.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.10.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Temperley	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Racing de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLW
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.10.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Central Norte - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Chaco For Ever - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.08.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1
31.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1

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