Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Madryn		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	6.25	Watch
	1.75	2.9	5.5
	1.78	2.95	5.6	Watch
	1.76	2.95	6.29	Watch
	1.73	3	5.8
	1.75	2.94	5.87
	1.78	2.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.22)	2.96 ↑ (2.64)	5.84 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
52.8%

Draw
31.4%

Güemes
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

34.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

33.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Deportivo Madryn - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hass J. (G) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Gutierrez A. 3. Martinez D. 8. Perez B. 5. Recalde F. (C) 7. Crego D. 10. Solis N. 9. Silba L. 11. Juncos B.	1. Acosta M. (G) 4. Bettini M. 2. Juarez W. 6. Monserrat N. 3. Lopez F. 8. Gerez M. 5. Papa G. 7. Griffa E. 10. Perez P. 9. Albertengo M. 11. Brylko H.
Substitutes
18. Ayala E. 12. Bonnin Y. (G) 16. Bustos A. 17. Cascini B. 13. Minissale P. 14. Pruzzo L. 20. Rivero F. 19. Torres G. 15. Velurtas P.	20. Alvarez M. 16. Fissore M. 15. Galvan F. 14. Gauna J. 13. Gonzalez F. 12. Leguiza M. (G) 18. Martinez T. 19. Palacios P. 17. Rojas T.
Coaches
Gracian L.	Vazquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Perez B. ⚽,
42', Crego D. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brylko H. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
53', Papa G. ↓, Fissore M. ↑,
53', Lopez F. ↓, Gauna J. ↑,
69', Albertengo M. ↓, Palacios P. ↑,
79', Juncos B. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
79', Perez B. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
79', Gerez M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
88', Silba L. ↓, Rivero F. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Deportivo Madryn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Güemes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Deportivo Madryn is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.25	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Club Almagro - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.25	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Güemes	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Güemes - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Los Andes - Güemes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.05.22	Deportivo Madryn - Güemes	0:1

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