Match Info

Date: 11 July 2021, Sunday


	Deportivo Madryn		Sportivo Peñarol

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.58	3.4	5.5
	1.58	3.3	5.8
	1.63	3.47	6.36
	1.57	3.2	6.5
	1.59	3.55	5.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)	3.39 ↓ (4)	5.93 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
57.6%

Draw
27%

Sportivo Peñarol
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

18.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Deportivo Madryn - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 8).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Deportivo Madryn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Madryn is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Madryn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.07.21	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
03.07.21	Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Deportivo Madryn - Sol de Mayo	1:1 ✺
19.06.21	Huracán Las Heras - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
16.05.21	Juventud Unida Universitario - Deportivo Madryn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWW
- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.07.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
03.07.21	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	2:2 ✺
27.06.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros	1:0 ✺
19.06.21	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0 ✺
08.06.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Sansinena	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.02.20	Deportivo Madryn - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
06.10.19	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Madryn	0:0

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