Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)

Referee: Bejas N. (Arg)


	Deportivo Maipú		Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.5
	1.93	3.2	3.8
	1.9	3	4.5
	2.01	3.11	4.42
	2	3	3.7
	1.97	3.16	4.3
	2	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	4.15 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
47.5%

Draw
30.1%

Mitre
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

30.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

38%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deportivo Maipú have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Deportivo Maipú - Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Moyano S. 2. Coronel F. 6. Gonzales 3. Ferracuti G. 5. Manzur A. 8. Montero F. 10. Sambueza R. 11. Herrera L. 7. Gonzalez S. 9. Almiron E.	1. Larrea K. (G) 4. Tapia R. 2. Soto G. 6. Almiron M. 3. Sanchez M. 7. Mieres B. 5. Alessandroni J. 8. Diaz G. 11. Gonzalez D. 9. Romero N. 10. Rosales S.
Substitutes
13. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 18. Egel M. 20. Klusener G. 17. Olano S. 16. Paredes L. 15. Ramirez R. 12. Rehak G. (G) 19. Veliez A. 14. Viguet M.	19. Bustamante F. 14. Diaz C. 15. Ferrari M. 17. Franco E. 20. Heiz N. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 18. Mayenfisch G. 13. Melillan F. 16. Ramirez G.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Grelak A.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Deportivo Maipú is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mitre in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Deportivo Maipú is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Maipú won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.06.23	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Aldosivi	3:2 ✺
21.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.06.23	Mitre - Villa Dálmine	3:1 ✺
05.06.23	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.02.23	Mitre - Deportivo Maipú	1:0
27.02.22	Deportivo Maipú - Mitre	1:0
17.09.21	Mitre - Deportivo Maipú	3:1
07.05.21	Deportivo Maipú - Mitre	1:1

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