Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Colegiales		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.65	3.7	Watch
	2.32	2.62	3.55	Watch
	2.29	2.77	3.96
	2.41	2.66	3.66	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.8
	2.31	2.72	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.24)	2.68 ↓ (2.74)	3.73 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
40.3%

Draw
34.8%

Club Almagro
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

34.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

34%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Colegiales - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Colegiales will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 6. Aguirre E. 3. Hanashiro F. 4. Malagueno F. 7. Mamani M. 5. Marin F. 8. Ocampo E. 2. Ortiz L. 9. Toloza N. 11. Trinidad E. 10. Zicarelli F.	1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 9. Benegas M. 10. Bustamante F. 2. Cortave M. 8. Macies T. 5. Marchioni J. 6. Marco F. 11. Martinez E. 7. Palacio P. 3. Silcan E.
Substitutes
19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 16. Baglivo G. L. 18. Gonzalez L. 17. Juarez L. 15. Miranda F. 20. Monserrat R. E. 14. Montiel F. 13. Rivero F.	13. Barbieri G. 20. Canale T. 14. Chamorro S. 17. Fernandes J. 18. Flores J. 19. Orlando J. 15. Tolosa N. 16. Ubeda S. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Macies T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mamani M. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
46', Ocampo E. ↓, Monserrat R. E. ↑,
59', Toloza N. ↓, Baglivo G. L. ↑,
61', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
63', Silcan E. 🟨,
66', Silcan E. ↓, Barbieri G. ↑,
66', Bustamante F. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
66', Palacio P. ↓, Tolosa N. ↑,
68', Montiel F. 🟨,
75', Zicarelli F. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
76', Trinidad E. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
82', Macies T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
88', Tolosa N. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Monserrat R. E. ⚽, Albertengo M. (A),
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Colegiales is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almagro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Colegiales could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colegiales won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Colegiales won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Club Almagro - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.2%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLW
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Club Almagro - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Club Almagro - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.08.25	Colegiales - Club Almagro	2:0
06.04.25	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0
Argentinian Primera B
08.07.15	Club Almagro - Colegiales	1:0
22.02.15	Colegiales - Club Almagro	3:2

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