The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Maipú 46.9%
Draw 28.9%
Gimnasia Jujuy 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
31%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
32.5%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+1%)
Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. Fernandez N. 5. Gobetto J. 8. Perez E. (C) 7. Saccone F. 11. Bonfigli M. 10. Silva T. 9. Giacone J.
1. Alvarez M. (G) 2. Cosaro G. 8. Camargo F. 6. Varela J. 3. Endrizzi E. 4. Lopez D. 7. Paradela F. 5. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 11. Gallardo D. 9. Cachi M.
Substitutes
16. Arno J. C. 20. Cabrera L. 14. de la Reta J. 13. Ferreyra T. 18. Orosco B. 15. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 17. Vera A. 19. Yavante Gaitan D.
17. Alonso A. 18. Arganaraz A. 20. Bianchi O. 19. Franzoni J. 12. Gomez G. (G) 13. Lazarte M. 14. Minervino D. 16. Pombo C. 15. Soria H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Silva T. ⚽, Saccone F. (A),
56', Lopez D. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Paradela F. ⚽, Varela J. (A),
61', Fernandez N. ↓, de la Reta J. ↑,
62', Giacone J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
67', Camargo F. ↓, Minervino D. ↑,
69', Silva T. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
75', Gobetto J. ↓, Orosco B. ↑,
81', Paradela F. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
81', Gallardo D. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
81', Endrizzi E. ↓, Lazarte M. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 2.
Deportivo Maipú has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gimnasia Jujuy shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Deportivo Maipú could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Deportivo Maipú is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipú has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Maipú against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 2.7:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnasia Jujuy - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.