Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Club Almagro		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.85	2.7
	2.65	3.00	2.55
	2.65	2.85	2.62	Watch
	2.86	3.1	2.78
	2.82	2.99	2.67	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.9
	2.68	2.95	2.8	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	2.7 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
34.1%

Draw
31.7%

Gimnasia Jujuy
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

32.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

31.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+4%)

Club Almagro - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Almagro (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 2. Chamorro S. 3. Tolosa N. 4. Flores J. 6. Negro B. 5. Marchioni J. 8. Martinez E. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Macies T. 7. Orlando J. 9. De La Vega F.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 2. Varela J. 3. Lazarte M. 4. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 7. Maidana F. 8. Minervino D. 10. Molina F. 5. Pombo C. 9. Gallardo D. 11. Menendez C.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 19. Dornell T. 16. Laba M. 18. Lopez T. 13. Marco F. 17. Pinto F. 20. Salto C. 15. Silcan E. 14. Vitale J.	19. Alonso A. 18. Arganaraz A. 20. Bianchi O. 17. Cachi M. 14. Endrizzi E. 13. Lopez D. 16. Paradela F. 12. Ramos Mingo M. (G) 15. Soria H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Varela J. ⚽,
35', Orlando J. 🟥,
44', 1 - 1, De La Vega F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Minervino D. ↓, Cachi M. ↑,
46', Menendez C. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
48', Lazarte M. 🟨,
56', De La Vega F. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Varela J. 🟨,
61', Varela J. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
61', Pombo C. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
62', Chamorro S. 🟨,
68', De La Vega F. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
72', Lazarte M. ↓, Endrizzi E. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Molina F. ⚽, Alonso A. (A),
78', Martinez E. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
78', Macies T. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
80', Paradela F. 🟨,
87', Marchioni J. ↓, Pinto F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Club Almagro - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Gimnasia Jujuy - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.15%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.26	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Morón - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Quilmes - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTLTL
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Tristán Suárez	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Club Almagro	6:1
23.07.22	Club Almagro - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0
01.08.21	Club Almagro - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:2
20.03.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Club Almagro	1:2
28.11.20	Club Almagro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0
15.11.19	Gimnasia Jujuy - Club Almagro	0:0
24.03.19	Gimnasia Jujuy - Club Almagro	0:1

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