The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia Jujuy 47%
Draw 30.4%
Chaco For Ever 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
25.7%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
26.2%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia Jujuy's form might have worsened.
Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaco For Ever's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia Jujuy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaco For Ever, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Gimnasia Jujuy - Chaco For Ever Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Camargo F. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 5. Soria H. 8. Gallardo D. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 11. Menendez C. 9. Cachi M.
1. Canuto G. (G) 4. Luque A. 2. Valdez D. 6. Garay R. 3. Ojeda A. 5. Nievas B. 8. Gaggi E. 7. Carrizo J. 10. Fernandez L. 11. Pacheco G. 9. Romero M. S.
Substitutes
19. Alonso A. 18. Arganaraz A. 20. Bianchi O. 17. Casa M. 14. Lopez D. 16. Paradela F. 15. Pombo C. 12. Ramos Mingo M. (G) 13. Varela J.
12. Caprio N. (G) 20. Diaz Chaves M. 18. Lioi A. 17. Melgarejo G. 14. Mihovilcevich L. 15. Pruzzo L. 13. Silvera M. 19. Tevez M. 16. Valenzuela S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Canuto G. ↓, Caprio N. ↑,
58', Garay R. 🟨,
59', Pacheco G. ↓, Diaz Chaves M. ↑,
61', Menendez C. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Carrizo J. (Own goal),
71', Nievas B. ↓, Valenzuela S. ↑,
71', Ojeda A. ↓, Melgarejo G. ↑,
71', Gaggi E. ↓, Lioi A. ↑,
77', Carrizo J. 🟨,
77', Camargo F. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
77', Cachi M. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
86', Carrizo J. 🟨,
90+1', Gallardo D. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
90+1', Molina F. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 3.
Gimnasia Jujuy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chaco For Ever is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Gimnasia Jujuy is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Jujuy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
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Alvarez M. (G) 
Soria H. 
Garay R. 
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