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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Maldonado 54.3%
Draw 27%
Juventud de Las Piedras 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
29%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
28.8%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maldonado's performance.
Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maldonado that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
25. Segovia D. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 2. Fuica N. 19. Tealde F. (C) 22. Ramos J. 7. Larrazabal G. 8. Gonzalez M. 28. Cartagena S. 17. Ramirez S. 14. Tabo C. 16. Cesar R.
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 28. Ramos N. 3. Piegas A. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. (C) 5. Marcel S. 37. Segovia A. 11. de Luca A. 10. Pandiani A.
Substitutes
9. Bolzan C. 42. Fernandez J. 1. Freitas A. (G) 30. Ibanez L. 31. Marino F. 18. Mayada C. 5. Nunez L. 32. Petryk H. 27. Sosa G. 23. Vila A.
16. Acosta F. 27. Alvez F. 22. Bertocchi N. 21. Brun S. 18. Daguerre D. 24. Gonzalez L. (G) 29. Lozano B. 23. Pipe 9. Piriz L. 7. Viera G.
Coaches
Di Noia G.
Nunez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Cesar R. ⚽,
33', Garcia M. 🟨,
44', Assis S. 🟨,
45', Tabo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Garcia M. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
56', de Luca A. ↓, Daguerre D. ↑,
63', Larrazabal G. ↓, Bolzan C. ↑,
63', Ramirez S. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
63', Cartagena S. ↓, Ibanez L. ↑,
73', Cesar R. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
80', Tealde F. 🟨,
82', Assis S. ↓, Piriz L. ↑,
82', Segovia A. ↓, Pipe ↑,
85', Tabo C. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Bolzan C. ⚽,
90', Piegas A. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
90+2', Piriz L. 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th and 6th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Maldonado could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Maldonado is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Maldonado has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maldonado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Maldonado
9
5
2
2
13:5
8
17
7
Juventud
9
3
5
1
10:6
4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.