Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Vikonis F. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.90	2.50	Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.40
	2.70	3.05	2.43
	2.88	3.17	2.68
	2.74	3.11	2.65
	2.75	3.15	2.60
	2.78	3.13	2.57	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.66)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
33.7%

Draw
30%

Deportivo Maldonado
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Juventud de Las Piedras - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (G) 23. Mas E. 24. Barrandeguy F. 2. Pernicone P. 8. Rolon K. 15. Cruz A. 19. Cecchini E. 26. Pereiro G. 14. Roldan L. 37. Peralta R. 10. Larregui B.	25. Segovia D. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 2. Fuica N. 22. Ramos J. 19. Tealde F. 8. Gonzalez M. 7. Larrazabal G. 28. Cartagena S. 17. Ramirez S. 16. Cesar R. 14. Tabo C.
Substitutes
7. Alaniz A. 20. Arady B. 27. Boselli J. 22. Chagas R. 12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 30. Gomez G. 5. Morosini D. 25. Mujica I. 21. Perez F. 28. Risso F.	42. Fernandez J. 1. Freitas A. (G) 30. Ibanez L. 18. Mayada C. 29. Mozzone E. 5. Nunez L. 32. Petryk H. 27. Sosa G. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Di Noia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Cartagena S. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Peralta R. ⚽,
33', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
42', Segovia D. 🟥,
43', Larrazabal G. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
45+9', Roldan L. 🟨,
45+11', 2 - 0, Peralta R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cartagena S. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
46', Cesar R. ↓, Tormo S. ↑,
58', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
62', Larregui B. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
68', Ramirez S. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
68', Gonzalez M. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
71', Cecchini E. ↓, Morosini D. ↑,
71', Barrandeguy F. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
80', Pereiro G. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
80', Peralta R. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
88', Chagas R. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Maldonado	10	5	3	2	14:6	8	18
7	Juventud	9	3	5	1	10:6	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTT
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
01.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0
02.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1

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