Match Info

Date: 4 July 2021, Sunday


	Deportivo Maldonado		Sud América

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.1
	1.65	3.75	4.25
	1.71	3.6	4.2
	1.77	3.94	4.62
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.74	3.74	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.67 ↓ (3.67)	4.35 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
53.7%

Draw
25.1%

Sud América
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

20.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maldonado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Deportivo Maldonado - Sud América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14).

Maldonado is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sud América has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Maldonado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maldonado is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maldonado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.06.21	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	2:3 ✺
24.06.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso	1:1 ✺
20.06.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	4:0 ✺
13.06.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
06.06.21	Rentistas - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTLWW
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.06.21	Sud América - Progreso	2:4 ✺
22.06.21	Cerro Largo - Sud América	2:1 ✺
19.06.21	Sud América - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
11.06.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Sud América	5:0 ✺
05.06.21	Sud América - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.09.19	Sud América - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0

Deportivo Maldonado - Sud América: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide