Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Peñarol de Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.85	5.9
	1.5	4.09	6.22
	1.51	4.19	6.13	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.52	3.99	6.28	Watch
	1.54	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	3.93 ↑ (3.39)	6.11 ↓ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
61.3%

Draw
23.5%

Deportivo Maldonado
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

27.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Peñarol de Montevideo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 4. Gularte E. 6. Ferreira L. 34. Herrera N. 93. Laxalt D. 5. Remedi E. 21. Jesus Trindade 22. Angulo L. 10. Fernandez L. 23. Togni G. 19. Arezo M.	25. Segovia D. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 3. Menosse H. 19. Tealde F. (C) 22. Ramos J. 28. Cartagena S. 8. Gonzalez M. 14. Tabo C. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M. 21. Espindola M. 16. Cesar R.
Substitutes
40. Alvarez B. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 55. Couture L. 35. Gonzalez L. 25. Gonzalez M. 26. Madruga A. 30. Muhlethaler S. 14. Rodriguez K. 32. Umpierrez L.	99. Bruno Mendes 42. Fernandez J. 1. Freitas A. (G) 15. Gonzalez S. 11. Lopez G. 31. Marino F. 29. Mozzone E. 32. Petryk H. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Di Noia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ramos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Angulo L. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
46', Laxalt D. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
47', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
54', Espindola M. 🟨,
58', Herrera N. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
59', Remedi E. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,
67', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
68', Cesar R. ↓, Tormo S. ↑,
68', Noble Sequeira A. M. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
71', Tabo C. 🟨,
76', Espindola M. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
76', Cartagena S. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
77', Togni G. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽,
82', Jesus Trindade ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
82', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
90+1', Arezo M. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.

Peñarol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.

In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penarol	9	6	2	1	15:6	9	19
4	Maldonado	9	5	2	2	13:5	8	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.02.26	Central Español - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Super Cup
01.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
23.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:3 penalties ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
21.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Colo-Colo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.02.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
13.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.11.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0
06.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
07.04.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2
13.10.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1
05.03.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1
22.08.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1
19.06.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3

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