Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 11

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Deportivo Merlo		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.3
	3.15	2.75	2.52
	3	2.8	2.38
	3.04	2.97	2.44
	2.9	2.9	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.85 ↑ (2.84)	2.42 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
30.3%

Draw
31.9%

San Miguel
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

32.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

31.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deportivo Merlo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportivo Merlo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
16.04.23	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Deportivo Merlo - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Merlo - Los Andes	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Merlo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTLT
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
15.04.23	San Miguel - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Comunicaciones - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	San Miguel - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	UAI Urquiza - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	San Miguel - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
05.08.22	San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo	1:2
09.04.22	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	2:0
07.08.21	San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo	1:0
27.03.21	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
14.05.17	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	2:1
28.10.16	San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo	0:0
05.04.16	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	1:0

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