Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 1

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Deportivo Miranda		Caracas

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.1	3.25	2.23
	3.01	3.1	2.23
	3.1	3.11	2.25	Watch
	3.06	3.1	2.22
	3.4	3.1	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.36)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	2.17 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Miranda
28.9%

Draw
29.1%

Caracas
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Miranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Miranda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+3%)

Deportivo Miranda - Caracas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miranda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, De Santis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Edet B. 🟥,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Miranda has had a series of away games.

Caracas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Miranda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Miranda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Caracas - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Miranda
Venezuelan Segunda Division
31.05.25	Marítimo de La Guaira - Deportivo Miranda	3:0 ✺
18.05.25	Aragua - Deportivo Miranda	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	Deportivo Miranda - Dynamo Puerto	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Bolivar - Deportivo Miranda	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo Miranda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTTT
- Caracas FC
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.25	Caracas - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Caracas	3:1 ✺
08.05.25	Cienciano - Caracas	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.04.25	Universidad Central - Caracas	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Caracas - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
27.06.24	Caracas - Deportivo Miranda	2:0
06.06.24	Deportivo Miranda - Caracas	2:1

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