Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Atlético Mineiro		Caracas

	1	X	2
	1.1	9	23	Watch
	1.12	9.5	17.5
	1.07	10	26	Watch
	1.09	11.24	28
	1.11	9.39	23.81	Watch
	1.11	9	23	Watch
	1.11	9.17	23	Watch
	1.07	10	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)	9.66 ↑ (8.07)	23.79 ↑ (19.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
86.2%

Draw
9.8%

Caracas
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.5%

11.6%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Caracas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 4. Lyanco 6. Alonso J. 38. Caio Paulista 8. Fausto Vera 44. Rubens 37. Junior Santos 28. Cuello 11. Bernard 7. Hulk	12. Benitez F. (G) 72. Rito E. 2. La Mantia F. 27. Edet B. 13. Yendis J. 21. Rodriguez V. 14. Echenique E. 5. Vegas M. 10. Covea M. 31. Hernandez J. 9. De Santis J.
Substitutes
1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 10. Gustavo Scarpa 17. Igor Gomes 16. Igor Rabello 19. Joao Marcelo 2. Natanael 30. Palacios Alzate B. 20. Patrick Silva 23. Roman I. 47. Romulus 33. Rony 14. Vitor Hugo	33. Correa W. 22. Figueroa A. 15. Heraldez L. 24. Jimenez N. 32. Morigi M. 25. Pena L. 17. Reinoso L. 3. Rivillo D. 4. Rodriguez B. 7. Tegues D. 23. Vegas J. (G)
Coaches
Cuca	Aristeguieta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Edet B. (Own goal),
45+1', Edet B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alonso J. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
46', Hulk ↓, Rony ↑,
46', Fausto Vera ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Cuello ⚽, Junior Santos (A),
55', Lyanco 🟨,
55', De Santis J. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, De Santis J. (Pen),
73', Caio Paulista ↓, Patrick Silva ↑,
73', Bernard ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Rony ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
78', Vegas M. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
84', Hernandez J. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
90', Rodriguez V. ↓, Heraldez L. ↑,
90+6', Vitor Hugo 🟨,

Preview

Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caracas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético MG is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.05.25	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Maringá - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTT
- Caracas FC
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Cienciano - Caracas	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.04.25	Universidad Central - Caracas	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Caracas - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.04.25	Caracas - Monagas	1:4 ✺
13.04.25	Zamora - Caracas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Caracas - Atlético Mineiro	1:1
Copa Libertadores
28.05.24	Atlético Mineiro - Caracas	4:0
04.04.24	Caracas - Atlético Mineiro	1:4

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