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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Mixco 49.9%
Draw 27.7%
Comunicaciones 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
30.3%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
29.2%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Mixco's performance.
Comunicaciones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Mixco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. 2. Flores N. 26. Jerry 6. Jimenez C. 9. L. Garcia 99. Martinez N. 5. Mendez D. 11. Pozuelos Y. 16. Urizar J. 37. Yanes A.
1. Perez F. (G) 31. Bradley D. . de la Cruz A. 5. Dominguez-Ramirez M. 4. Espino K. 77. Garcia N. 2. Grijalva K. 8. Moncada J. 32. Olivera Moreira L. N. 10. Reyes D. 16. Santis D.
Substitutes
18. Bolanos J. 25. Cruz J. 7. Garcia E. 24. Gonzalez O. 8. Lemus K. 12. Marquez J. 21. Marroquin D. 23. Padilla M. (G) 19. Zuniga E.
. Barrios A. (G) 36. Camacho S. 7. Castaneda B. 3. Cruz Martin E. 27. Duarte O. . Ortiz A. . Prada D. . Raymundo E. 9. Vuletich A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Arce G. 🟨,
45', Urizar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Jerry ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
58', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
64', L. Garcia ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Garcia E. ⚽,
69', Santis D. 🟨,
77', Bradley D. ↓, Vuletich A. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Espino K. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Comunicaciones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mixco is a strong favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mixco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).