The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal 61%
Draw 23.8%
Comunicaciones 15.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.7%
23.8%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
22.1%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Comunicaciones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Municipal - Comunicaciones Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Linares B. (G) 10. Altan P. 26. Barrientos R. 31. Calderon C. 14. Franco J. 32. Lopez E. 9. Martinez J. 3. Mena J. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J. 4. Samayoa N.
1. Perez F. (G) 8. Dantaz Paredes P. M. 19. de la Cruz A. . Dominguez-Ramirez M. 4. Espino K. 77. Garcia N. 2. Grijalva K. 25. Lemus E. 33. Osorio J. 10. Reyes D. 13. Robles S.
Substitutes
20. Archila C. 11. Bantes J. 33. Cabeza A. 52. David A. 13. Estrada C. 19. Hernandez C. 99. Japa E. 7. Munoz R. 12. Navarro K. (G)
31. Bradley D. 7. Castaneda B. . Diaz Bran A. E. (G) 27. Duarte O. . Guerra B. 32. Olivera Moreira L. N. 6. Pinto J. . Prada D. . Ramirez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Dominguez-Ramirez M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Garcia N. ⚽,
45+1', Garcia N. 🟨,
45+1', Robles S. 🟨,
45+1', Barrientos R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Barrientos R. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
46', Lopez E. ↓, Munoz R. ↑,
61', de la Cruz A. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
65', Mendez J. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
65', Morales J. ↓, Bantes J. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
76', Martinez J. 🟨,
76', Dantaz Paredes P. M. ↓, Duarte O. ↑,
78', Munoz R. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
83', Altan P. ↓, David A. ↑,
84', Reyes D. 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, David A. ⚽,
86', Reyes D. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
86', Garcia N. ↓, Bradley D. ↑,
90+1', Osorio J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 2.
Municipal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Comunicaciones have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Comunicaciones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Municipal is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Municipal has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:20 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Municipal against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).