Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio David Cordón Hichos (Guastatoya) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Guatemala	20:10	Azteca Guatemala


	Deportivo Guastatoya		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.40	4.40
	1.58	3.4	5.1
	1.65	3.56	5.39
	1.66	3.61	5.2	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.3
	1.74	3.55	4.7
	1.62	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	5.04 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Guastatoya
55.7%

Draw
26.1%

Deportivo Mixco
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Escobar R. (G) 7. Almanza J. 88. Alvarado C. 22. Avalos V. 33. Contreras A. 14. Estrada J. 32. Lemus B. 17. Lon A. 4. Morales B. 15. Morales H. 10. Sequen M.	30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. 21. Can J. 17. Cuero Fabian 6. Jimenez C. 99. Martinez N. 3. Moreno M. 22. Rocha K. 20. Segura J. 33. Sotomayor J. 37. Yanes A.
Substitutes
8. Aguilar Y. 23. Armas V. 6. Estrada J. 19. Garrido S. 30. Hernandez B. (G) 16. Macal L. 35. Palencia E. 25. Pineda W. . Ramirez C.	2. Flores N. . Garcia . Marroquin . Mendez 23. Padilla M. (G) 11. Pozuelos Y. 16. Urizar J. 19. Zuniga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Rocha K. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Martinez N. ⚽,
38', Yanes A. 🟨,
45+1', Almanza J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morales B. ↓, Armas V. ↑,
57', Can J. ↓, Garcia ↑,
57', Segura J. ↓, Pozuelos Y. ↑,
63', Estrada J. 🟨,
64', Sequen M. ↓, Pineda W. ↑,
64', Estrada J. ↓, Aguilar Y. ↑,
66', Jimenez C. ↓, Urizar J. ↑,
76', Lon A. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
76', Lemus B. ↓, Palencia E. ↑,
80', Martinez N. 🟨,
87', Martinez N. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Garcia ⚽,
90+4', Alvarado C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 2.

Guastatoya has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mixco is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Guastatoya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Guastatoya is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Guastatoya has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:14 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guastatoya against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 14:1 goals (averaging 1.6:0.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Deportivo Mixco	16	8	3	5	29:23	6	27
4	Guastatoya	16	8	3	5	22:20	2	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.10.26	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
14.10.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo San Pedro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTLWW
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.10.26	Deportivo Mixco - Municipal	0:0 ✺
18.10.26	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	3:1 ✺
14.10.26	Marquense - Deportivo Mixco	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Suchitepéquez - Deportivo Mixco	3:3 ✺
27.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	4:2
07.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0
22.01.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Mixco	2:0
06.11.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Mixco	1:0
30.08.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0
27.04.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Mixco	1:0
01.03.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1

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