The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 51.9%
Draw 30.7%
San Miguel 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
32.5%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
31.5%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportivo Morón - San Miguel Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diaz F. (G) 11. Bittolo M. 5. Burruchaga M. 4. Contreras E. 7. Fagundez F. 8. Kubiszyn S. 6. Lazza E. 9. Levato M. 10. Olivares J. 2. Salvareschi B. 3. Vaquero I. M.
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Adin D. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Cruz A. 11. Delgado L. 8. Desabato L. 10. Ferrero J. 7. Juarez D. 9. Nasta B. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 2. Renteria D.
Substitutes
19. Berterame G. 13. Cardozo L. 14. Flores F. 17. Franco E. 18. Gonzalez G. 16. Gonzalez M. 15. Livera J. 12. Mancuso J. (G) 20. Zappacosta J.
13. Aguirre F. 17. Almeida F. 14. Cardozo F. 18. Diaz T. 20. Fernandez G. 12. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 19. Oses M. 15. Perez L. 16. Serra M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Nasta B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vaquero I. M. ↓, Livera J. ↑,
46', Olivares J. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
52', Burruchaga M. 🟨,
56', Juarez D. ↓, Diaz T. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Renteria D. (Own goal),
62', Delgado L. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Delgado L. ⚽,
68', Levato M. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,
72', Cruz A. 🟨,
73', Bittolo M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Zappacosta J. ⚽, Gonzalez G. (A),
77', Zappacosta J. 🟨,
80', Desabato L. ↓, Serra M. ↑,
80', Ferrero J. ↓, Oses M. ↑,
81', Oses M. 🟨,
84', Ramirez I. 🟨,
84', Delgado L. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
86', Fagundez F. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
Deportivo Morón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Miguel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Deportivo Morón is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.