Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Telmo		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.57	3.1
	2.50	2.80	2.95
	2.58	2.68	3	Watch
	2.81	2.74	3.12
	2.69	2.68	3.14	Watch
	2.7	2.7	3.05
	2.74	2.62	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.62)	2.68 ↓ (2.71)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
34.9%

Draw
34.7%

San Miguel
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

34.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

34.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

San Telmo - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 7. Baez F. 11. Batallini M. 5. Britez E. 6. Diaz E. 9. Molina N. 4. Motroni J. 10. Porto J. 3. Romero P. 2. Roncaglia F. 8. Uriburu R.	1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Adin D. 7. Brochero L. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Cruz A. 9. Delgado L. 10. Ferrero J. 11. Juarez D. 5. Ramirez I. 2. Renteria D. 8. Serra M.
Substitutes
13. Britez L. 18. Gamarra R. 14. Gonzalez M. 17. Larthirigoyen I. 15. Ledesma M. I. 19. Nunez C. 16. Ortiz N. 12. Rial J. (G)	13. Aguirre F. 17. Almeida F. 14. Cardozo F. 16. Desabato L. 18. Diaz T. 19. Fernandez G. 12. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 20. Nasta B. 15. Perez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Uriburu R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Delgado L. ↓, Diaz T. ↑,
62', Brochero L. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
62', Baez F. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
68', Ceceri K. 🟨,
76', Juarez D. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
78', Porto J. ↓, Ortiz N. ↑,
78', Uriburu R. ↓, Gamarra R. ↑,
86', Batallini M. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
87', Romero P. ↓, Britez L. ↑,
89', Ferrero J. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
90+2', Diaz T. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Molina N. ⚽,
90+3', Molina N. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 1.

San Telmo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, San Miguel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

San Telmo - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	Racing de Córdoba - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	San Telmo - Chaco For Ever	1:3 ✺
05.07.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	San Telmo - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Central Norte - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWT
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	San Miguel - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	San Miguel - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Central Norte - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Acassuso - San Miguel	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.03.26	San Miguel - San Telmo	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
19.12.20	San Miguel - San Telmo	0:0
17.11.19	San Telmo - San Miguel	1:2
12.05.19	San Miguel - San Telmo	0:1
03.12.18	San Telmo - San Miguel	0:0
06.02.18	San Telmo - San Miguel	0:0
13.09.17	San Miguel - San Telmo	1:1

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