The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 60.8%
Draw 26.9%
Acassuso 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
23.4%
10.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69%
22.3%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Morón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Deportivo Morón - Acassuso Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Acassuso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 11. Bittolo M. 5. Burruchaga M. 6. Cardozo L. 7. Fagundez F. 4. Iniguez E. 8. Kubiszyn S. 9. Levato M. 3. Livera J. 10. Olivares J. 2. Salvareschi B.
1. Monllor M. (G) 11. Acosta N. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Dordoni B. 5. Dubini K. (C) 4. Etcheverri R. 10. Hermoso A. 6. Pioli L. 8. Rey L. 7. Reynoso R. 9. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
18. Benitez M. 19. Berterame G. 15. Contreras E. 12. Diaz F. (G) 13. Flores F. 16. Franco E. 17. Gonzalez G. 20. Toloza F. 14. Vaquero I. M.
17. de Estefano D. 12. Luque J. (G) 18. Monaco M. 13. Ponce J. 15. Postigo J. 16. Raccio J. 19. Romero L. 14. Ruiz A. 20. Senn F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Fagundez F. ⚽,
20', Kubiszyn S. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Iniguez E. ⚽, Fagundez F. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Dubini K. (A),
37', 3 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽, Kubiszyn S. (A),
42', Acosta N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Reynoso R. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
46', Bellatti S. D. N. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
46', Acosta N. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
63', Dordoni B. 🟨,
66', Levato M. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
66', Bittolo M. ↓, Toloza F. ↑,
66', Rey L. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
75', Livera J. 🟨,
77', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
77', Iniguez E. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
77', Dubini K. ↓, Senn F. ↑,
81', Monaco M. 🟨,
82', Salvareschi B. 🟨,
85', Fagundez F. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
88', Pioli L. 🟥,
89', 🟨,
90', 4 - 1, Toloza F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Monllor M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 4.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Acassuso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo Morón is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
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Salva J. (G) 
Fagundez F. 
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