Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Telmo		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.35	3	3.15	Watch
	2.41	3.05	3.26
	2.42	2.93	3.21	Watch
	2.38	3	3
	2.37	2.97	3.09
	2.4	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	3.15 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
39.3%

Draw
31.1%

Agropecuario Argentino
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.

Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agropecuario Argentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Telmo: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. San Telmo (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Dell Aquila N. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Ojeda L. 8. Uriburu R. 5. Yangali J. 10. Astina M. 7. Curcio N. 9. Cocimano S. 11. Porto J.	1. Salort G. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 2. Molina M. 6. Sills J. 3. Leyendeker M. 8. Aranda B. 5. Lemos D. 10. Ramos M. 7. Mosqueira R. 9. Gagliardi A. 11. Ruiz D.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre F. 17. Britez E. 14. Cesar L. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 18. Larthirigoyen I. 15. Sosa R. 16. Tello F. 20. Zurbriggen J.	16. Aguirre E. 17. Benitez M. 18. Gallardo D. 14. Henriquez F. 19. Heritier J. 15. Miranda F. 12. Noce J. (G) 13. Silcan E. 20. Vasquez D.
Coaches
Monasterio C.	Adrover A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Ruiz D. 🟨,
33', Salort G. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Gagliardi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Mosqueira R. ↓, Miranda F. ↑,
46', Curcio N. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
46', Ramos M. 🟨,
53', Ruiz D. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Aguirre F. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Gagliardi A. ⚽,
66', Astina M. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
66', Uriburu R. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
68', Aranda B. ↓, Silcan E. ↑,
72', Porto J. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Gagliardi A. ⚽,
79', Gagliardi A. ↓, Gallardo D. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Cocimano S. ⚽,
83', Ojeda L. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Cocimano S. (Pen),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

San Telmo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Central Norte - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	San Telmo - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Chaco For Ever - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TWLWT
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
19.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Central Norte	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.23	San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1
05.04.23	Agropecuario Argentino - San Telmo	2:1
27.07.22	San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0

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