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Current Win Probability
Agropecuario Argentino 38.8%
Draw 33.2%
Defensores de Belgrano 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
31.2%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
28.7%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
62.5%
12.5%
Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Defensores (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Agropecuario (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Agropecuario (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Defensores (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salort G. (G) 19. Vasquez D. 3. Leyendeker M. 6. Sills J. 13. Silcan E. 10. Ramos M. 5. Lemos D. . Henriquez F. 7. Melo A. 9. Gagliardi A. 11. Ruiz D.
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. Segovia J. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Benitez A. 5. Gutierrez I. 10. Sanchez C. 11. Rodriguez F. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Gonzalez E.
Coaches
Adrover A.
Mayor C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Vasquez D. ⚽, Melo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gamarra G. ↓, Vecchio E. ↑,
46', Gutierrez I. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
61', Rodriguez F. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
61', Sanchez C. ↓, Moyano P. ↑,
64', Mosqueira R. 🟨,
70', Vasquez D. ↓, Aranda B. ↑,
70', Melo A. ↓, Ruiz Diaz D. ↑,
74', Leyendeker M. 🟨,
76', Gonzalez E. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
80', Molina M. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
81', Miranda F. ↓, Henriquez F. ↑,
87', Mosqueira R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Benitez A. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
Agropecuario has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Defensores is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Agropecuario will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Agropecuario won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Agropecuario won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Argentina
Watch
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Salort G. (G) 
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