Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Deportivo Morón		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5
	1.55	3.5	6
	1.6	4.1	5
	1.56	3.77	7.03
	1.55	3.4	6.5
	1.59	3.68	6.35
	1.58	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)	3.73 ↓ (3.77)	6.17 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
59.7%

Draw
25.1%

Deportivo Flandria
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Morón will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Coronel M. 6. Gomez A. 3. Henry N. 8. Berterame G. 5. Ubeda S. 10. Orosco B. 11. Coronel S. 7. Garcia F. 9. Rescaldani E.	1. Perafan M. (G) 4. Arrechea N. 2. Gomez F. 6. Marchio J. 3. Canever F. 8. Broggi C. 5. Altuna A. 10. Rivadero M. 11. Seimandi L. 7. Gagliardi A. 9. Sanchez C.
Substitutes
13. Caceres P. 16. Calderon P. 17. Kubiszyn S. 20. Ramos L. 12. Rojas J. (G) 19. Sala S. G. 14. Salega G. 18. Sosa D. 15. Ulibarri S.	14. Camacho A. 17. Chaves A. 19. Comachi M. 16. Fernandez M. 12. Gallardo I. (G) 20. Melivilo F. 15. Nalerio A. 13. Raggio E. 18. Torres J.
Coaches
Nardozza F.	de la Riva F.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 0.

Deportivo Morón is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Flandria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo Morón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Deportivo Morón to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Morón won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Morón	4:0 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Club Almagro - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWW
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Güemes	3:1 ✺
02.07.23	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
26.06.23	Deportivo Flandria - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.03.23	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Morón	2:0
03.07.22	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Morón	0:0
03.12.17	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Morón	2:2
Argentinian Primera B
05.04.16	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	0:0
02.11.15	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	1:1
14.06.15	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Morón	0:2

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