Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.5
	1.6	3.5	5.25
	1.63	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.59	6.06
	1.6	3.3	5.8
	1.65	3.62	5.7	Watch
	1.65	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.01)	3.52 ↑ (3.11)	5.57 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
56.9%

Draw
26.4%

Deportivo Flandria
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Flandria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Flandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Patronato Parana - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Users Predictions: Patronato Parana will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Ruiz M. 2. Ojeda S. 6. Gonzalez C. 3. Geminiani L. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Domingo N. 10. Valdez J. 7. Solis N. 9. Diaz E. 11. Esquivel J.	1. Perafan M. (G) 4. Murillo F. 2. Gomez F. 6. Raggio E. 3. Canever F. 8. Altuna A. 5. Nalerio A. 7. Rivadero M. 10. Chaves A. 9. Sanchez C. 11. Gagliardi A.
Substitutes
13. Bellatti S. D. N. 12. Budino M. (G) 19. Gonzalez K. 14. Kruspzky L. 15. La Mastra M. 20. Levato M. 18. Novero G. 17. Pereyra V. L. 16. Russo I.	13. Arrechea N. 14. Camacho A. 20. Comachi M. 18. Fernandez M. 12. Gallardo I. (G) 16. Gonzalez A. E. 15. Papa G. 17. Seimandi L. 19. Torres J.
Coaches
de Paoli R.	de la Riva F.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Patronato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flandria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Flandria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Patronato is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Copa Libertadores
27.06.23	Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Patronato Parana - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWLT
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.06.23	Deportivo Flandria - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores Unidos	0:2 ✺
21.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.02.23	Deportivo Flandria - Patronato Parana	1:1

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