The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 42.8%
Draw 32.9%
Deportivo Morón 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
33.2%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
36.8%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quilmes's performance.
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Morón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
59%
7.7%
Quilmes - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 13 - 33.3%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 59%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.6% – 74.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 22 and 18).
Quilmes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Deportivo Morón is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Quilmes will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
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