Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Referee: Carreras J. (Arg)


	Sacachispas		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	4	2.8	2.2	Watch
	3.8	2.75	2.1
	3.95	2.7	2.1
	3.7	2.75	2.13
	4.55	2.64	2.24
	3.3	2.8	2.3
	4.05	2.72	2.09
	3.75	2.8	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.9)	2.75 ↓ (2.81)	2.16 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
23.7%

Draw
33.6%

Deportivo Morón
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

33.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacachispas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Morón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacachispas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Morón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Sacachispas - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 8 - 25%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Morón: 20.7% – 54.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 36 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Sacachispas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo Morón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Morón will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.09.22	Temperley - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Sacachispas - Deportivo Flandria	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
29.08.22	Sacachispas - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Villa Dálmine - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTLT
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.09.22	Deportivo Morón - Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Deportivo Morón - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
29.08.22	Quilmes - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTLW

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