The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Muñiz 25.9%
Draw 31.5%
El Porvenir 42.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.1%
31.6%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
30.3%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Muñiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Deportivo Muñiz - El Porvenir Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, De Benedetti N. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Arrieta J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Malmoria I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 2, Murilo A. ⚽,
66', 3 - 2, Beron F. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Muñiz won 0.
Deportivo Muñiz has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by El Porvenir have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
El Porvenir is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Muñiz has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Muñiz against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Muñiz - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.12%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
El Porvenir - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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