Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Deportivo Muñiz		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	3.8
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.75	3.29	4.29
	1.76	3.29	4.29
	1.76	3.45	4.46
	1.75	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.57)	3.47 ↓ (4.04)	4.14 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Muñiz
52%

Draw
26.1%

Lugano
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

22.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Muñiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Muñiz's form might have worsened.

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Muñiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Deportivo Muñiz - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Vielma P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', Villegas O. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 25).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Muñiz won 0.

Recent matches Deportivo Muñiz is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Deportivo Muñiz is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Deportivo Muñiz won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Muñiz won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Muñiz
Argentinian Primera C
11.05.24	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Muñiz	0:3 ✺
05.05.24	Deportivo Muñiz - Central Córdoba de Rosario	2:3 ✺
27.04.24	Mercedes - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0 ✺
17.04.24	Deportivo Muñiz - General Lamadrid	2:3 ✺
10.04.24	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Muñiz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTLW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
11.05.24	Lugano - General Lamadrid	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Ituzaingó - Lugano	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Lugano - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Club Luján - Lugano	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
13.11.23	Lugano - Deportivo Muñiz	1:1
31.07.23	Deportivo Muñiz - Lugano	1:1
15.04.23	Lugano - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0
28.08.22	Deportivo Muñiz - Lugano	2:2
12.06.22	Lugano - Deportivo Muñiz	2:2
01.10.21	Deportivo Muñiz - Lugano	1:1
09.06.21	Lugano - Deportivo Muñiz	0:1

Upcoming Matches