Match Info

Primera C - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Mercedes		Deportivo Muñiz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.25
	2.18	2.78	3.35	Watch
	2.24	2.7	3.46
				Watch
	2.24	2.72	3.52
	2.21	2.88	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.92)	2.79 ↓ (3)	3.39 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
40.9%

Draw
32.4%

Deportivo Muñiz
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

31.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mercedes's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Muñiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mercedes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Muñiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mercedes - Deportivo Muñiz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.30) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Guex D. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Diaz D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1.

Mercedes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Muñiz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mercedes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mercedes might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
05.07.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Mercedes - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
20.06.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Mercedes - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:3 ✺
31.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTLLW
- Deportivo Muñiz
Argentinian Primera C
07.07.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Muñiz	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Berazategui	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
31.03.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Mercedes	0:0
30.09.24	Deportivo Muñiz - Mercedes	0:0
27.04.24	Mercedes - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
15.10.23	Deportivo Muñiz - Mercedes	2:0
08.07.23	Mercedes - Deportivo Muñiz	3:2
28.05.23	Mercedes - Deportivo Muñiz	0:3
23.07.22	Mercedes - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0

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