The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Municipal 39.2%
Draw 29.4%
Universidad San Martín 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
29.1%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
31.1%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Deportivo Municipal - Universidad San Martín Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Uni San Martín will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nicosia F. (G) 35. Ayaucan S. 9. Calero A. 20. Cespedes J. (C) 17. Di Leo T. 8. Inga J. 16. Lucero G. 15. Ortiz J. 32. Pumpido F. 24. Raffo R. 7. Villagra C.
1. Cavagna A. (G) 19. Chumpitaz I. 32. Cornejo S. 16. Cuba R. (C) 25. Delgado G. 2. Gomez J. 29. Ismodes D. 3. Roque G. 13. Rossi E. 30. Soto J. 9. Vergara H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pumpido F. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Pumpido F. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Cuba R. ⚽,
77', Ismodes D. 🟨,
88', Salem J. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', Moyano D. 🟨,
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 2.
Recent matches Municipal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Universidad San Martín is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Municipal will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Municipal won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-5.