Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Deportivo Nueva Concepción		Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	3.15	3.1	2.05
	3.14	3.25	2.21
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.05	3.22	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.36)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.19 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Nueva Concepción
30.3%

Draw
28.4%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

29.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

19.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Nueva Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Nueva Concepción than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Nueva Concepción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Santa Lucía will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nueva Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Nueva Concepción
Guatemala Liga Nacional
20.02.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Municipal	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Cobán Imperial	1:2 ✺
02.02.22	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLL
- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
20.02.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1 ✺
09.02.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones	1:4 ✺
06.02.22	Sololá - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
31.10.21	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1
25.08.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:1

Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide