Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 19

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa		Deportivo Guastatoya

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.87	2.7
	2.48	3	2.55
	2.35	3.03	3.17
	2.33	3.05	3.04
	2.55	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.64)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)	2.84 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
37.4%

Draw
30.5%

Deportivo Guastatoya
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Santa Lucía will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Santa Lucía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucía won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.04.23	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Cobán Imperial - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWL
- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.04.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:2 ✺
12.04.23	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0
30.10.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0
21.08.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1
03.04.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:0
02.02.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:3
05.12.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1
10.11.21	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:2

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