Match Info

NICARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo Ocotal		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.51
	5.05	4.28	1.58	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.47	4.38	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↑ (4.08)	4.24 ↑ (4.08)	1.52 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Ocotal
17.7%

Draw
21.7%

Real Estelí
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Ocotal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Ocotal's form might have worsened.

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Estelí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Ocotal than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ocotal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Real Estelí will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Vieyra J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Castro E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
62', 2 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Tercero L. ⚽,
82', 3 - 2, Bonilla B. ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, Martinez E. J. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 4, Toledo J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ocotal
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.10.24	Municipal Jalapa - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Matagalpa	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Managua	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Sport Sébaco - Deportivo Ocotal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLL
- Real Estelí
CONCACAF Central American Cup
31.10.24	Herediano - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
27.10.24	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
24.10.24	Real Estelí - Herediano	0:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
05.10.24	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
02.10.24	Águila - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
24.08.24	Real Estelí - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0
08.05.24	Real Estelí - Deportivo Ocotal	5:1
04.05.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	0:2
02.02.24	Real Estelí - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0
08.10.23	Real Estelí - Deportivo Ocotal	1:0
11.08.23	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	0:2
18.03.23	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	2:2

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