Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Real Estelí		Sport Sébaco

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9.5
	1.21	5.35	9.8	Watch
	1.21	5.4	17.18
	1.27	4.81	13.7	Watch
	1.22	5	12
	1.24	5.75	11.5
	1.22	5.33	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.29)	5.27 ↑ (5.06)	11.88 ↑ (9.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
74.8%

Draw
17.5%

Sport Sébaco
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

18.4%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 🟥,
90+11', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 5.

Real Estelí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sport Sébaco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Real Estelí is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Estelí won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	0:4 ✺
11.02.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Managua - Real Estelí	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Real Estelí - Rancho Santana	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLT
- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.02.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Sport Sébaco - Rancho Santana	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Sport Sébaco - Municipal Jalapa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.11.25	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	3:0
10.05.25	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	1:0
28.02.24	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	2:3
21.10.23	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	0:5
18.08.23	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	5:0
26.03.23	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	3:0
04.02.23	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	0:1

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