Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 23h 27m 📅 Remind Me


	Real Estelí		Sport Sébaco

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.35	6.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	4.35 (4.35)	6.5 (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 13.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
66.2%

Draw
20.2%

Sport Sébaco
13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

18.5%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Estelí have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sport Sébaco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 6th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 4.

Real Estelí has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Sport Sébaco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Real Estelí holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Estelí has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:20 (averaging 2.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Estelí against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 18:7 goals (averaging 2.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Esteli	15	8	4	3	27:14	13	28
6	Sport Sebaco	14	5	2	7	15:27	-12	17

Last Results with these Odds

Real Estelí - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 66.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
28.10.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:2 ✺
25.10.26	Real Estelí - Managua	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	3:1 ✺
15.10.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTW
- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
28.10.26	Sport Sébaco - Managua	0:3 ✺
25.10.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	3:1 ✺
18.10.26	Sport Sébaco - Municipal Jalapa	1:4 ✺
15.10.26	Sport Sébaco - Rancho Santana	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	San Marcos - Sport Sébaco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.08.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	0:5
19.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	3:2
18.02.26	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	3:2
06.11.25	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	3:0
10.05.25	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	1:0
28.02.24	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	2:3
21.10.23	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	0:5

Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco