The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matagalpa 20.7%
Draw 23.6%
Real Estelí 55.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
23.9%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
22.8%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Matagalpa - Real Estelí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Matagalpa has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Real Estelí has had a run of games away from home.
Bookmakers give the edge to Real Estelí for this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Matagalpa has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:24 (averaging 0.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Matagalpa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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