Match Info

NICARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Deportivo Ocotal		UNAN Managua

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.95	3.5	2.12
	3	3.67	2.18	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	3	3.59	2.21	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	3.53 ↓ (3.68)	2.14 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Ocotal
31.3%

Draw
25.9%

UNAN Managua
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.6%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Ocotal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

UNAN Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Ocotal than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Ocotal - UNAN Managua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ocotal won 1.

Ocotal is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches UNAN Managua is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ocotal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

UNAN Managua will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Ocotal won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:28 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ocotal won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ocotal
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.11.24	Rancho Santana - Deportivo Ocotal	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	3:4 ✺
26.10.24	Municipal Jalapa - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Matagalpa	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Managua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLLW
- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
07.11.24	Rancho Santana - UNAN Managua	2:3 ✺
02.11.24	Managua - UNAN Managua	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	UNAN Managua - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Municipal Jalapa - UNAN Managua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
19.09.24	UNAN Managua - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0
14.04.24	UNAN Managua - Deportivo Ocotal	1:1
17.02.24	Deportivo Ocotal - UNAN Managua	1:2
28.10.23	Deportivo Ocotal - UNAN Managua	3:0
26.08.23	UNAN Managua - Deportivo Ocotal	3:2
01.04.23	UNAN Managua - Deportivo Ocotal	2:4
09.02.23	Deportivo Ocotal - UNAN Managua	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.11.26	Managua - UNAN Managua	✺

Deportivo Ocotal - UNAN Managua