The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rancho Santana 31.6%
Draw 27.3%
UNAN Managua 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.7%
26.7%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
26.1%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
UNAN Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Rancho Santana - UNAN Managua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Santana M. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, Amador J. ⚽,
90+12', Jiron N. 🟥,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rancho Santana won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
UNAN Managua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with UNAN Managua holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Rancho Santana has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rancho Santana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).
Nicaragua
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