Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 6

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Ortega C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Independiente Santa Fe		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.22	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.22	3.15	3.33
	2.21	3.28	3.26	Watch
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.26	3.18	3.17	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)	3.18 (3.18)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
41.8%

Draw
29.4%

Atlético Bucaramanga
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Santa Fe (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 22. Perlaza E. 3. Moreno V. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 14. Torres J. 20. Velasquez Y. 16. Torres D. 24. Angulo J. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 28. Lopez E. 8. Fernandez O.	1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 2. Mena J. (C) 29. Henao C. 9. Moreno N. 70. Charrupi F. 28. Flores L. 7. Londono K. 8. Hinestroza F. 14. Mosquera J. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 32. Mafla C. 5. Melendez J. 31. Molina T. 19. Mora A. 21. Murillo E. 18. Olivera E. 40. Palacios M. 30. Sanchez E.	15. Chavez D. 25. De Las Salas C. 4. Garcia J. 77. Jhon Vasquez 33. Medina G. 23. Romana C. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Lopez Fierro J.	Alvarez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
64', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
64', Mosquera J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
69', Torres D. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
69', Angulo J. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
72', Moreno N. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
72', Flores L. ↓, De Las Salas C. ↑,
87', Fernandez O. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
87', Torres J. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
87', Hinestroza F. ↓, Romana C. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Santa Fe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
03.12.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0 ✺
19.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
03.12.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
19.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0
09.08.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1
19.03.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1
Colombian Copa
28.08.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1
Colombian Primera A
07.08.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1
15.06.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:3 penalties
08.06.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0

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