The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 47.2%
Draw 28%
Atlético Bucaramanga 24.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.4%
28.1%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
28.8%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Asprilla W. (G) 13. Palacios H. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 18. Olivera E. 4. Puerta M. 7. Torres J. 9. Fagundez F. 16. Torres D. 77. Obrian J. 11. Rodallega H. (C) 25. Rodriguez E.
25. Fiermarin C. (G) 24. Ortiz J. 23. Romana C. 4. Garcia J. 19. Gutierrez A. 21. Charrupi F. 22. Fabry 8. Hinestroza F. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 27. Pons L. 17. Batalla E.
Substitutes
43. Caicedo J. 31. Espitia J. (G) 8. Fernandez O. 17. Lovera M. 21. Murillo E. 14. Palacios L. 39. Portocarrero C. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 10. Zapata A.
80. Albornoz O. 9. Caicedo B. 6. Castrillon N. 28. Flores L. 7. Londono K. 16. Matheus L. (G) 5. Murrilo A. 3. Rea M. 20. Zarate A.
Coaches
Repetto P.
Peirano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Fagundez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Romana C. 🟥,
55', Rodallega H. 🟨,
63', Sambueza F. 🟨,
67', Sambueza F. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
67', Charrupi F. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
69', Obrian J. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
69', Rodriguez E. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
73', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Pons L. ⚽, Batalla E. (A),
83', Olivera E. 🟨,
85', Torres J. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
85', Torres D. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
85', Batalla E. ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
88', Puerta M. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
89', Pons L. ↓, Rea M. ↑,
89', Gutierrez A. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Palacios H. ⚽, Fagundez F. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.
Santa Fe has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bucaramanga has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Santa Fe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Santa Fe is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:22 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Fe against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:7 goals (averaging 1.4:0.7 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Santa Fe
16
8
4
4
23:17
6
28
6
Bucaramanga
15
6
7
2
23:15
8
25
Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now
Santa Fe: 11.44% Bucaramanga: 3.48%
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.52%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.