Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Referee: Ortega C. (Col)


	Deportivo Pasto		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	5	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.46	5.25
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.78	3.44	4.8
	1.74	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	4.78 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
52.9%

Draw
27.5%

Atlético Huila
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Atlético Huila will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez D. (C) 22. Alba I. 38. Quintero J. 3. Malagon J. 32. Mafla C. 5. Caicedo J. 25. Roa J. 11. Moreno Mosquera D. 19. Otalvaro J. P. 28. Lopez E. 17. Lopez D.	12. Figueroa J. (G) 5. Ariza A. 4. Caicedo L. 3. Escorcia L. 23. Medina B. 80. Angulo Castro B. 6. Diaz B. 26. Rivera A. 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 11. De La Rosa W. 18. Guerrero E.
Substitutes
8. Ayala C. 9. Britos G. E. 12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 29. Campana J. 20. Cardona J. 13. Hurtado Castro J. 6. Rosales Y.	9. Caicedo J. F. 27. Lerma J. 19. Mendez J. (G) 17. Mosquera Y. 35. Ordonez F. 14. Sequeda Arroyo M. 1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Torres F.	Corredor D.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Deportivo Pasto is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Pasto won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
21.09.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
13.09.23	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Deportivo Pasto - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWL
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
21.09.23	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
14.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
11.09.23	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	3:0 ✺
04.09.23	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
17.04.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pasto	1:1
28.10.21	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila	1:0
20.08.19	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila	4:0
22.02.19	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pasto	2:0
22.10.18	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila	0:0
18.04.18	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pasto	2:0
15.11.17	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila	4:0

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