Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Pasto		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.45	Watch
	2.3	3.26	3.5
	2.34	2.9	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.19	3.1	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.06)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	3.43 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
42%

Draw
30.7%

Deportes Tolima
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrerin I. (G) 33. Garavito M. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 5. Gil N. (C) 21. Velasco E. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 10. Chavez D. 23. Goez Y. 32. Pisano M. 29. Cordoba S. 11. Estupinan A.	1. Neto Volpi (G) 28. Lopez E. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 17. Arrieta C. 32. Guzman S. 80. Rovira B. 7. Gonzalez J. 24. Parra Osorio A. 18. Florez K. 11. Valencia J.
Substitutes
12. Banguera G. (G) 17. Bernal J. 6. Caicedo J. 16. Gil M. 27. Goyes H. 15. Mancilla H. 13. Martinez F. 19. Morelo W. 7. Perlaza J.	30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 22. Marquinez L. (G) 31. Moreno Y. 33. Mosquera J. 15. Nieto J. 4. Pedrozo D. 9. Sandoval L. 19. Santiago J. 10. Torres Patino J. P.
Coaches
Risueno J.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Guzman S. 🟨,
22', Risueno J. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Florez K. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
46', Valencia J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
46', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
57', Garavito M. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
57', Estupinan A. 🟥,
69', Rovira B. ↓, Nieto J. ↑,
70', Arrieta C. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
70', Velasco E. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
76', Lopez E. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
80', Mosquera J. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽, Guzman S. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.

In recent matches, Deportivo Pasto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportes Tolima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Deportes Tolima has had a series of home games.

Deportivo Pasto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20
18	Dep. Pasto	12	2	3	7	9:18	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Pasto - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.74%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Deportes Tolima - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
09.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto	4:3 ✺
23.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	2:3 ✺
10.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
09.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Coquimbo Unido	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.04.26	Millonarios - Deportes Tolima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
09.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
10.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	1:0
12.07.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	3:2
27.01.25	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	2:0
Colombian Copa
02.10.24	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	1:1
17.09.24	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	1:2
Colombian Primera A
23.07.24	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	2:1

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