Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Delgado L. (Col)


	Millonarios		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.45	8.75
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4.35	7.5
	1.42	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	4.38 ↑ (3.99)	7.34 ↑ (6.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
65.9%

Draw
21.3%

Atlético Huila
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Millonarios - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: Millonarios will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Montero A. (G) 3. Bertel O. 4. Vargas J. P. 26. Llinas A. 34. Navarro S. 21. Pereira J. 18. Ruiz Rivera D. 14. Silva D. (C) 8. Giraldo D. 15. Hernandez E. 23. Castro L.	12. Figueroa J. (G) 5. Ariza A. 26. Rivera A. 3. Escorcia L. 4. Caicedo L. 7. Hernandez S. 6. Diaz B. 80. Angulo Castro B. 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 11. De La Rosa W. 10. Vinicius M.
Substitutes
17. Arias J. 19. Carvajal J. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 1. Moreno J. (G) 25. Paredes Bustamante L. A. 30. Rosales R. 5. Vasquez L.	9. Caicedo J. F. 13. Delgado D. 1. Escobar J. (G) 18. Guerrero E. 69. Luna Tobar C. 17. Mosquera Y. 14. Sequeda Arroyo M.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Corredor D.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético Huila could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Millonarios is indisputable favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Millonarios won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
18.09.23	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	2:4 ✺
03.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLW
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
17.09.23	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
14.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
11.09.23	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	3:0 ✺
04.09.23	Once Caldas - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Atlético Huila - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
11.04.23	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:1
18.09.21	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	3:1
11.08.19	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:1
16.02.19	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	3:2
03.11.18	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:0
28.04.18	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	1:0
12.11.17	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	0:0

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