Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Pasto		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.8	7.5	Watch
	1.5	3.7	7.4	Watch
	1.49	4.01	7.66
	1.54	3.69	6.99	Watch
	1.44	3.7	7
	1.5	3.74	7.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.83)	3.77 ↑ (3.3)	7.29 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
62.5%

Draw
24.7%

Cúcuta Deportivo
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cúcuta Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pasto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cúcuta Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Cúcuta (1.51) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Deportivo Pasto (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo Pasto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Pasto will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cúcuta (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Banguera G. (G) 3. Jimenez M. S. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 21. Velasco E. 23. Goez Y. 6. Caicedo J. 7. Perlaza J. 32. Pisano M. 11. Estupinan A. 29. Cordoba S.	1. Ramirez J. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 4. Quinones J. 44. Cordoba B. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. (C) 16. Londono K. 5. Mejia V. 70. Cano A. 11. Arizalas E. 90. Hernandez L. 7. Berdugo L.
Substitutes
10. Chavez D. 16. Gil M. 27. Goyes H. 1. Herrerin I. (G) 15. Mancilla H. 13. Martinez F. 19. Morelo W. 9. Preciado P. 8. Serje Orozco E. C.	24. Abadia F. (G) 32. Agudelo J. 3. Calcaterra D. 23. Castaneda F. 30. Montano B. 9. Peralta J. 33. Tamara S.
Coaches
Rosero J.	Paez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. ⚽, Jimenez M. S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Cano A. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
61', Arizalas E. ↓, Agudelo J. ↑,
70', Perlaza J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
70', Goez Y. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
70', Pisano M. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
71', Berdugo L. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Cordoba B. ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Cordoba S. ⚽, Estupinan A. (A),
82', 3 - 1, Gil M. ⚽, Cordoba S. (A),
82', Quinones J. ↓, Calcaterra D. ↑,
82', Mejia V. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
87', Cordoba S. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
90+4', Estupinan A. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Calcaterra D. ⚽, Cordoba B. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Pasto is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	15:19	-4	15
18	Dep. Pasto	12	2	3	7	9:18	-9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
20.02.26	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWTL
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
23.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Rionegro Águilas - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
16.02.20	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	0:0
28.09.19	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1
03.04.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	1:3
07.11.15	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	0:2
09.05.15	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
06.10.13	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	1:2
05.05.13	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1

Upcoming Matches