Match Info

Copa Colombia - Second stage - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Pasto		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.40	3.10	1.98
	3.4	3.05	2.08	Watch
	3.7	3.16	2.09
	3.7	3.2	2.08	Watch
	3.65	3	2
	3.66	3.05	2.01	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.3)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
25.8%

Draw
29.5%

Independiente Medellín
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

29.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 33. Garavito M. 5. Gil N. (C) 6. Jimenez M. S. 15. Mancilla H. 17. Mendez J. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 7. Perlaza J. 19. Preciado P. 3. Rios J. 8. Serje Orozco E. C.	25. Chaux E. (G) 18. Fabra F. 4. Mantilla K. 21. Martegani A. 9. Medina J. 26. Mena Perea E. 20. Montano J. 6. Moreno D. 8. Quintero J. 5. Varela J. 11. Yony Gonzalez
Substitutes
12. Banguera G. (G) 10. Chavez D. 29. Cordoba S. 16. Gil M. 27. Goyes H. 25. Leys F. 35. Martinez F. 21. Osede D. 26. Valencia H.	39. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 34. Klinger K. 16. Loboa H. 32. Lucumi C. 13. Mena J. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 14. Perlaza B.
Coaches
Rosero J.	Perea L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Yony Gonzalez ⚽, Martegani A. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
45', Gil N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mendez J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
46', Mancilla H. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
46', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Leys F. ↑,
60', Preciado P. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
65', Martegani A. ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
66', Montano J. ↓, Klinger K. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Klinger K. ⚽, Medina J. (A),
72', Medina J. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
72', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Perlaza J. ⚽, Garavito M. (A),
79', Serje Orozco E. C. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, Palacios H. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
81', Quintero J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
83', Loboa H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1.

Deportivo Pasto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ind Medellín is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Medellín - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.87%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
05.09.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Deportivo Pasto - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTL?
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
03.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	Canceled ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.08.26	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
20.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	Canceled
Colombian Primera A
25.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	3:2
18.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0
18.08.25	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:2
03.03.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
08.09.24	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0
29.02.24	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	1:0

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