Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Tolima		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.20	4.00	Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.60
	2.10	3.25	3.60	Watch
	2.05	3.31	4.08
	2.1	3.15	3.71	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.75
	2.06	3.30	4.12	Watch
	2.04	3.15	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.14)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	3.82 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
45.8%

Draw
29.5%

Independiente Medellín
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ortega M. (G) 33. Mosquera J. 3. Angulo J. 71. Osorio Y. 17. Arrieta C. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 32. Guzman S. (C) 7. Hurtado J. 9. Sandoval L. 28. Lopez E. 24. Parra Osorio A.	25. Chaux E. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 39. Escorcia L. 5. Varela J. 13. Mena J. 11. Yony Gonzalez 6. Moreno D. (C) 21. Martegani A. 20. Montano J. 9. Medina J. 10. Catano D.
Substitutes
23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 18. Florez K. 20. Hernandez J. 16. Reyes V. 10. Sanchez L. 19. Santiago J. 8. Valencia E. 11. Valencia J.	70. Cordoba J. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 34. Klinger K. 32. Lucumi C. 4. Mantilla K. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 14. Perlaza B. 19. Simarra A.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Perea L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Catano D. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Montano J. ⚽, Yony Gonzalez (A),
34', Catano D. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
41', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Medina J. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Guzman S. (Penalty Awarded),
57', 1 - 3, Cordoba J. ⚽, Montano J. (A),
60', Varela J. 🟥,
63', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Simarra A. ↑,
65', Mosquera J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
65', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
65', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
66', Arrieta C. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
73', Hurtado J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
74', Montano J. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
74', Martegani A. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
77', Guzman S. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Hernandez J. ⚽, Valencia E. (A),
90+6', Perlaza B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.

In this match, Deportes Tolima is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Tolima - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.91%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
01.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
28.07.26	Deportes Quindío - Deportes Tolima	3:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.07.26	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportes Quindío	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
01.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Vasco da Gama - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
02.06.26	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.01.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:2
27.09.25	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín	2:3
15.06.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:1
04.06.25	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín	1:3
15.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	0:1
22.09.24	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	0:1
09.03.24	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín	2:2

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